New Trends Reshape China's Auto Industry

by Paul Denlinger

Posted April 5, 2004

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As China's automobile industry has leaped to being one of the three largest industries in the world, led only by the US and Japan, new trends in the auto industry are becoming apparent as it strives to become more competitive nationally and internationally.

The most apparent trend was the rapid increase in the number of vehicle's: production in 2003 was 4.44 million vehicles, which was 2.1 million more than 2001's 2.34 million vehicles.

For the first time, sedans led demand. In 2003, sedans made up 44.5% of production, up nearly 15% from 2001's 30%.

The market showed signs of greater concentration with fewer makes and models, which suggests that it is showing early signs of maturing. In 2003, SAIC, Dongfeng and other leading makers came to dominate nearly 80% of the market.

With continued strong consumer demand, especially in China's leading cities, earnings and profits have gone up considerably.

New models have come out at a rapid-fire pace. It is estimated that in 2002 and 2003, more than 80 new models of sedans came out.

Vehicle exports from China have also gone up at a quick pace. In 2003 vehicle and parts exports were US$4.7 billion, up 34% over 2002, according to statistics released by Chinese customs.

The auto industry is currently undergoing reorganization, with takeovers and mergers favoring the fastest growing companies. Companies are re-capitalizing and issuing more shares. Joint ventures are extending terms and length of their joint venture companies. Major parts companies such as Visteon are increasing their presence, and companies which were not previously in vehicle manufacture such as Chunlan are also getting into the business.Private capital is getting involved in the re-organization of state-owned manufacturers.

Although China has made great progress in the past few years, it is still very weak in research and development. Compared to leading American, Japanese and European makers, the scale of the Chinese auto industry is still small. When it comes to models, Chinese are still reliant on leading US, European and Japanese brands. And when it comes to the retail experience, the general environment is still far behind that of developed countries.

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