Ten Billion Dollars Goes Into Shanghai Real Estate Market in 2003

by Paul Denlinger

Posted April 9, 2004

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An estimated US$10 billion of international investment funds entered the Shanghai real estate market in 2003, driving real estate prices to new market highs.

According to FIABCI, a leading real estate federation, real estate prices in Shanghai are now at a peak, and most likely will track down in the near future. During 2003, a slow international real estate market, with the exception of China, drove considerable funding into the Shanghai real estate market.

While most of the commercial real estate in Shanghai was largely developed with government funding, and Hong Kong and Shanghai developer funds, only in 2003 have the larger US investment banks begun investing in Shanghai residential property. With their international asset management experience, these banks are able to offer premium Shanghai property to their international clients.

The Shanghai municipal government, anxious to diversify its investment resources, has actively encouraged other banking firms to come into the Shanghai market. It has also been involved in moves to introduce zoning laws to the city. Throughout Shanghai, there is a strong focus on turning the city into an international cosmopolitan city on the same level as New York, London and Paris.

Prior to the foreign money coming into Shanghai, the most active domestic investment groups were from Wenzhou in Zhejiang province. Compared to other cities, Wenzhou has a much higher percentage of private enterprises, and Wenzhou companies and individuals would form informal "home-buying associations" to speculate on Shanghai property. These home-buying associations would even compete in competitions to see which could close the most deals in the shortest possible time. Many Shanghai natives blamed them for the rapid rise in property prices.

The US$10 billion is a rough estimate of inflow, since real estate investment funding often flows outside normal banking channels. When it comes to tracking real estate in China, zoning laws are largely non-existent in the cities, where residential and commercial real estate are often in the same buildings. Now, Beijing and Shanghai are attempting to introduce changes in this area, with varying degrees of success depending on the neighborhood.

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