China Struggles with Summer Power Shortage

by Paul Denlinger

Posted June 20, 2003

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Facing a power shortfall of 10,000 megawatts this summer in its southern and eastern provinces this year, China is moving to quickly approve new electricity generating projects and to deregulate the electricity market.

The areas experiencing shortages are Hebei, Shanxi, Zhejiang, Guangdong, northern China and eastern China. Faced with an energy surplus in 1996 and 1997, the government cut back new plant construction in 1998-2000. Demand has now increased in rural areas, and electrical prices have fallen, leading to a surge in demand.

According to former industry giant, State Power Corp., China's current electrical capacity stands at 353,000 megawatts. The shortage is expected to worsen to 15,000 megawatts next year. State Power Corporation, a government monopoly, was broken up into 11 smaller power generation, distribution and logistics companies in December of last year. It was replaced by the State Electricity Regulatory Commission in March of this year. The commission supervises industrial operations and issues licenses to environmentally qualified operators.

The Chinese government has approved the construction of 13 new large-scale power plants with a total power-generating capacity of 11.9 million kilowatts. Construction will not begin until 2005.

The Three Gorges dam project has 26 generators producing a total of 5.5 kilowatt/hours. Two generators will come online this year.

In order to rationalize the market, the State Electricity Regulatory Commission has announced that China's first regional electricity market will be established in China's northeastern provinces of Liaoning, Jilin and Heilongjiang. It will start trials at the end of October, and begin formal operations in January 2004. Following that, a northeastern power grid company is expected to be established shortly, to be followed by the opening of the regional electricity market.

Two similar electrical markets will be created in southern and eastern China later this year.

It also plans the establishment of an electricity futures market in the near future.

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