China's Economy Shows Signs of Overheating

by Paul Denlinger

Posted Aug. 13, 2003

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Excessive growth in some sectors is putting a strain on transportation and power supplies, driving up the prices of raw materials and hurting whole industries. Ma Kai, minister of National Development and Reform Commission (NDRC)said that if the investment fever in some industries does not cool, it will seriously affect China's strong economic growth.

Lin Yueqin, an economic researcher with the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences said that the automobile industry is plagued with too many small players with weak development capabilities. According to him, 70 of 123 plants make less than 10,000 units a year.

In the first six months of this year, steel and iron sector production grew by 21 percent, while investment shot up by 130 percent. Many small-scale facilities, which had been shut down because of environmental reasons, had resumed production. These plants uniformly produced low-quality products.

Lin criticized the cement industry, saying that many new plants under construction are using outdated technology. The same problem affects the aluminum industry.

Lin said that meaningful changes could not be made without reform of the financial sector, which is now almost totally state-owned.

Lin said, "Investors, not the government, should have the decisive say in launching new projects." Many projects were launched in China, not because of the economic benefits of the project, but because provincial and local government officials were fishing for fame and seeking glory.

To manage the reforms, the NDRC will publish information on supply and demand in these sectors, and will close down plants producing inferior products and causing serious pollution. It will also coordinate with the financial sector to curb loans to projects which use outdated technology and neglect industrial safety.

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