China Life IPO Shares Oversubscribed 10 Times

by Paul Denlinger

Posted Dec. 10, 2003

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The shares of China Life, China's leading state-owned life insurance company, which is due to go public this month in New York and Hong Kong, are oversubscribed 10 times. The initial offering is for up to US$3 billion in the two exchanges. There has been strong demand in Hong Kong for the shares of the company from Hong Kong retail investors. The company did not expect such strong demand from retail investors, since they will only receive up to 20 percent of the offering.

Last week, three of Hong Kong's richest tycoons revealed that they would buy up to US$500 million of the shares of the company. This could prompt the company to raise the US$3 billion amount of the listing. It is believed that strong demand for the company's shares are being driven by additional demand coming from Asian and international fund managers, and large hedge funds.

China Life, which controls 45 per cent of China's life insurance market, said it would raise HK$17.5 billion - $23.6 billion after setting a price range of HK$2.98 - 3.65 per share. The final offering price will be decided on the evening of Dec. 11 by China Life and its advisers, Credit Suisse First Boston, Citigroup, Deutsche Bank and Chinese firm CICC. Hong Kong residents have until the evening of Dec. 11, local time, to apply to purchase the shares of the company.

Yesterday, Great Wall, a Chinese vehicle maker, raised HK$1.5 billion in an offering in which demand from retail investors outstripped supply by more than 680 times.

Hong Kong's retail investors have traditionally been speculative buyers, and rumor serves to drive many investment decisions. Hong Kong's newspapers are particularly sensitive to rumors of investments made by Li Ka-shing, the territory's leading business tycoon. Until recently, his investments were all seen as winners.

The demand seen now is reminiscent of the demand seen in early 2000, during the Internet bubble. Of course, the buyers do not see it as a repeat of that episode, when so many lost money after that market crashed, throwing Hong Kong's economy into a prolonged recession.

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