China To Overtake Europe in Electronics Production by 2005

by Paul Denlinger

Posted June 6, 2003

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Faced with increasing production costs, European manufacturers will move out of Europe, and their first choice for manufacturing will be China. This is according to a report released by Booz Allen Hamilton, which was commissioned by the World Bank.

It is estimated that China's share of electronics production will jump from 8% in 2001 to 14% in 2005. By that year, China's share of world production will amount to US$80 billion annually, putting it in third place behind North America and Japan. This would put its output at near the combined total for Taiwan, South Korea, Singapore and Hong Kong.

According to company executives interviewed in the report, they planned to increase their manufacture in China because it is, comparatively speaking, a more promising market. Initially, they would start by placing their manufacturing there, then would later relocate research and development there as well.

More than half of respondents (64%) said that they felt that the SARS impact was relatively minor and temporary.

Most of China's growth has come from more labor-intensive areas including components, LCDs, cables and electrical supplies. These are the areas where China's cost savings are more apparent.

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