Baosteel Moves To Secure Brazilian Iron Ore Sources With JV

by Paul Denlinger

Posted Feb. 4, 2004

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Baosteel, China's largest steel producer, is moving to secure an iron ore source by setting up a joint venture steel mill in Brazil with CVRD, the world's largest iron ore producer.

The first stage of the agreement is a US$1-1.4 billion integrated mill with nearly 4 million tons of steel slab capacity. The second part of the agreement envisages a second mill to produce cold-rolled steel in 3 to 5 years if demand remains strong.

Over the past few years, CVRD has become Baosteel's largest supplier of iron ore from Brazil's northeastern region. Most of the South American economies, which are heavily reliant on commodities, have come to rely on China as their largest single buyer.

Iron ore prices have gone up by 20 percent over the past year, and combined with higher shipping costs, have forced up the price of steel. Instead of building steel mills in China to satisfy China's current demands, the Chinese government is encouraging major makers to invest in operations overseas, and exporting from the local mills back to China. The rationale for this is two-fold: steel manufacture is considered to be a high-pollution industry which the government does not want to encourage in China and the government does not want to have too much unused capacity as demand falls off in the Chinese market. By having a local presence in manufacturing capacity, some of the steel output can be exported to other markets outside China.

China has a significant number of state-owned enterprise steel mills which are money-losers, but have had a temporary lift because of current high domestic demand. Many of these mills were built in the 70s and 80s, when Chinese government policy still favored heavy industries. At the time, these mills brought job security to a significant part of the working population, especially in China's Northeast. Currently, the northeast is one of China's most economically depressed regions.

From a social and political viewpoint, it would be difficult to justify large-scale investments in new steel production when so many have lost their jobs.

While many foreign producers have said that there will be too much capacity in China, they have not been able to get accurate figures on steel production, capacity and demand from Chinese officials and businessmen.

Obviously, the Chinese are not anxious to have outside companies invest in steel production and sales in China.

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