It’s Official: China’s Economy Grew at 9.9 Percent in First Quarter of 2003

by Paul Denlinger

Posted April 16, 2003

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China's economy grew 9.9 percent from a year ago in the first quarter, the highest growth rate in six years, the Chinese National Bureau of Statistics said on Thursday.

The bureau's chief economist Yao Jingyuan said the economy grew by 9.9 percent to 2,356 trillion yuan in the first three months of the year.

It was the fastest first quarter growth since 1997 and 2.3 percentage points higher than first quarter growth in 2002.

"This year the nation's economic growth was strong due to stable and continued macro economic policy and the continued strengthening of the micro economy as well as the positive effect of the continued role of the World Trade Organization," he said.

Industrial growth was up 17.2 percent to 834.3 billion yuan, 6.3 percentage points faster than the same period last year.

Fixed asset investment rose to 615.5 billion yuan, up 27.8 percent over same period last year and 8.2 percentage points faster than the first quarter in 2002.

State fixed asset investment jumped 31.6 percent to 447.9 billion yuan while retail sales rose 9.2 percent to 1.1109 trillion yuan.

However, many economists say they expect Chinese economic growth to slow in coming months as a weak global economy saps demand for China's exports and the government eases back on stimulus spending that has created a record budget deficit.

China's exports soared nearly 34 percent in the first quarter to more than US$86 billion, although high oil prices and larger imports meant the country posted a slight trade deficit of about US$1 billion.

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