US Banks Jostle For China Banks' IPO

by Paul Denlinger

Posted Jan. 20, 2004

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US banks are currently contesting to advise on the IPO of China Construction Bank in Hong Kong and New York, and it looks like the leaders are Citigroup and Morgan Stanley. This IPO, estimated at more than US$5 billion, will be one of the biggest IPOs of 2004 or 2005.

Sources say that one or both of the investment banks would be appointed as advisors to Chinese domestic firm China International Capital Corporation, a joint venture between Morgan Stanley and China Construction Bank. The decision is not definite and could be reversed at anytime.

Along with Bank of China, China Construction Bank has recently received US$45 billion from the Chinese government to prepare them for IPOs in New York and Hong Kong. The objective is to help the two state-owned banks write off bad loans made to other state-owned enterprises, and to convert them into shareholding business entities attractive to Chinese and non-Chinese investors.

Initial indications are that the Chinese government is focusing its finance reforms on only Bank of China and China Construction Bank. The two other banks among the four majors, China Agricultural Bank and Industrial and Commercial Bank of China, are, comparatively speaking, less healthy and would require large and intense rescue efforts to convert them into attractive financial business entities. At the current stage, the government's thinking seems to be that China can now only support two banks which can compete internationally, but not four.

China's financial sector will be thrown open to international competition on Dec. 1, 2006, which is why the Chinese government is moving fast in this area. At that date, foreign banks will be allowed to compete in commercial and retail lending and services, and under WTO guidelines, the Chinese government will not be allowed to discriminate against them.

In order to offer a wider range of services and diversify revenue sources, Bank of China and China Construction Bank will enter or expand other areas of business such as investment banking and retail lending, instead of just relying on commercial lending..

One of the biggest beneficiaries of this will be Citigroup, which has a strong presence in investment and retail banking. Citigroup already is a shareholder in Taiwan and Hong Kong banks which are positioning themselves for entry into China. Because of the Closer Economic Partnership Agreement (CEPA) signed between the Hong Kong SAR and China in 2003, Hong Kong registered business entities get preferential treatment entering the China market.

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