Asian Poll Compares International Competitiveness in 2010

by Paul Denlinger

Posted March 27, 2004

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In a study of business executives in China, Japan and South Korea, business executives gave their rankings of which country would be the most internationally competitive in 2010. The Chinese and South Korean executives rated China the highest, while Japanese executives gave their thumbs up to the US.

The poll was jointly conducted by three news organizations; Nikkei, parent of Japan's leading business newspaper Nihon Keizai Shimbun, the Daily Economic News in South Korea and International Business News, published by the Ministry of Commerce in Beijing.

Of the Japanese respondents to the questionnaire, 50.9% responded that they felt that the single economy which would be most competitive in 2010 would be the US economy. Following in second place was China (33%), and in third place was Japan (9.4%).

Chinese respondents placed China in first place (44%), followed by the US(20%). No one in China gave Japan a ranking.

For South Korean executives, 54% placed China highest, followed by the US with 28% and 4% for Japan. South Korean respondents added that they felt that China, with its large population and low costs would be able to rapidly become highly productive.

The Nihon Keizai Shimbun added that Chinese, South Korean and Japanese executives did not necessarily have the same interpretation and understanding of "competitiveness". For Chinese and South Korean executives, competitiveness meant low manufacturing and production costs.

In a discussion titled "The Chinese Market in 10 Years", Japanese business executives in China said that the Chinese consumer market in the greater Yangzi region centered in Shanghai would become larger and have more buying power, and that the Chinese consumer market in 10 years time would be larger in size than the US consumer market. Sixty percent of the South Korean executives expressed the same opinion that the Chinese market would be equal in size or larger than the US in 10 years' time.

In 2002, South Korean exports and investments in China overtook exports and investments to the US for the first time.

Asked as to what was the most important country to invest in the next three years; the Japanese responded with China (45.3%), the South Koreans placed China in highest place at 50% and the Chinese responded with China at 37%.

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