China Loses To Japan Over Siberian Oil Pipeline

by Paul Denlinger

Posted March 25, 2004

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Japan's lobbying of the Russian leadership has appeared to triumph, and China has virtually conceded that the new Transiberian oil pipeline will not go to Daqing in northern China, but will instead go to Nakhodka, a Siberian port on the Pacific.

The two Asian government's lobbied intensely for the pipeline, as China and Japan are jockeying to supply their domestic energy needs. China has been particularly aggressive in the past year in locking down agreements for energy.

In 2003, China became the world's second largest importer of oil, after the US.

Earlier, China had lobbied Yukos, Russia's second-largest oil supplier, to build a pipeline to China. But things took a turn when its president and chairman was arrested by Russian president Putin for tax evasion, and thrown into jail.

The Japanese government then mobilized Japanese businesses to lobby the Russian government to build the pipeline to Nakhodka, which is just a short distance from western Japan. Without saying so publicly, the Japanese implied that it would be in the Russian's own best interests if their oil pipeline and deliveries did not end in China, but in a Russian port.

This, they argued, would support the economic development of Siberia and help to build business relations with all the countries of Asia, instead of just China.

While the Chinese government is disappointed, it believes that it can still benefit from the Nakhodka route.

Siberia has begun to show early signs of economic development, and has immense natural resources which have never been developed. Over the past 15 years, with the easing of relations between Russia and China, large numbers of Chinese have moved into Siberia, rising from less than 5,000 in 1989 to more than 3 million. Most Chinese investments are concentrated in trade and small businesses.

For Russians living in Siberia, the preferred first foreign language for middle school students is now Mandarin Chinese, and it is not unusual to hear it spoken in major cities such as Vladivostok.

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