National Peoples' Congress Shows Who's Got The Power

by Paul Denlinger

Posted March 4, 2004

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When the National Peoples' Congress convened in Beijing yesterday, the seating arrangement showed who has the leadership and power in China. Jiang Zemin, retired president and chairman of the Central Military Commission, had the center seat, with Premier Wen Jiabao on his left and President Hu Jintao on his right. This suggests that Jiang still has a say on many issues to be discussed at the twice-annual NPC meeting.

Security has been tightened down in Beijing with security police stationed fifty feet apart in the square surrounding Tiananmen, Zhongnanhai and the Great Hall of the People, where the more than 2,100 delegates meet. As usual, there is also a press crackdown which accompanies this major event.

The NPC meeting is largely a lobbying forum, where the delegates meet with the government leadership to push their causes. Most of the delegations are organized according to provincial lines. There are many working committees such as security, finance, and diplomacy, just to name a few, and delegates are considered to be rising stars if they get named to a committee.

This session will consider major changes to the constitution. One of the most important is a clause added to protect private property. The current constitution states that all property belongs to the state, and that China is ruled by the Chinese people. So, everything is state-owned and thus, by the people. But now, after 25 years of reform, the prosperous urban Chinese don't want to have their private property owned by everyone else, and they want guarantees added into the constitution.

Another revision will add that if property is taken away from an individual, proper restitution will be made. This changes the default to property ownership to private ownership. Unanswered questions remain such as how value will be determined, and how wrongs will be corrected.

As this NPC session convenes, it is becoming clear that as China develops, many of the social challenges and reforms facing the country are too complex and deep to be made by a leadership of only a few individuals. Others in the government and private sector need to be empowered to add a level of governance and responsibility.

For example, while premier Wen Jiabao has pushed through powerful financial reforms, he has not been able to implement change on the management level in China's state-owned banks. Wen can continue to make decisions on the management level by himself, or he can turn to the party, or hand the power to some other body which has the power and authority to throw out an ineffective management. In this analyst's opinion, his best option is to empower the China Banking Regulatory Commission with extraodinary powers to hire and fire bank management while China's financial sector undergoes privatization and proceeds to write off its bad loans. In many instances, hiring non-Chinese as management from Japan and the west, who do not have any vested interests in China, would be a good option which deserves serious thought and study.

Today, China is in the interesting position of having a powerful and much-in-demand currency, while having a broken financial sector. It's high time to fix the financial sector, so that capital can go to the individuals and companies which can provide the best return, instead of to companies and individuals favored by one faction or another.

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