Chinese Government Warns of Continued Energy Shortages

by Paul Denlinger

Posted March 7, 2005

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The Chinese government projects continued energy shortages in the near future, and has warned the public and industry that the shortages may well become more severe. These warnings came during the meeting of the National People's Congress in Beijing.

NPC meetings are usually reserved for major policy statements and legislation; it's unusual for major problems to be brought to the table. In this case, it is necessary because energy shortages, especially on China's eastern seaboard, are something which the Chinese population in general, and manufacturers in particular, have had to put up with.

The strong demand for energy has exerted a clear influence on China's foreign policy, and has pushed gasoline prices to new heights, with the price of a barrel of Brent crude hitting more than $54 on international spot markets in the past week. Economists and energy analysts think that because of the strong demand from China, and now India, prices will stay high.

In China, the demand for coal is so strong that the coal industry has to operate at peak production capacity, even when there are record numbers of coal-mining accidents. Coal prices are so high that coal companies are unwilling to slow down production enough to introduce more stringent safety measures.

Now, there is emphasis on more energy efficient use of energy. Since many older plants are inefficient and are severe polluters, there has been pressure to introduce newer high-tech plants.

There was also a call to create a new Energy Ministry, since the present Energy Commission serves under the National Development and Reform Commission, and only has a staff of 20. Presumably, an Energy Ministry would have a cabinet-level head.

China's strong demand for energy has caught the whole world by surprise. These admissions about China's energy policy show that no one was as surprised by the unprecedented demand as the Chinese government.

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