Nielsen: China to Become World's Second Largest TV Ad Market by 2010

by Paul Denlinger

Posted June 19, 2003

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Nielsen Media Research, one of the world's leading media firms, expects double digit growth in the China market, and is boosting its TV rating coverage from 11 cities in China to more than 100 cities by 2005. Nielsen expects the China market to overtake Japan by 2010.

Currently, China is the world's third largest TV ad market.

Nielsen is best known for the "people meter", which measures TV viewing patterns and helps the company to derive detailed consumer behavior. Currently, people meters are installed in 3,300 households in 11 mainland cities. Following the expansion, which is expected to be completed within two years, people meters will be installed in another 700 TV households, while another 21,000 households will use a diary for recording what they watch on TV. There are 340 million TV households in China now.

China's ad market in 2002 was worth $10 billion. With the upcoming 2008 Beijing Olympics, advertisers are jockeying into position to tap into what is the last, fast-growing consumer market. Nielsen expects the China ad market to grow by double digits every year in the next decade.

Under World Trade Organization (WTO) guidelines, which China joined in November 2001, China is required to give equal access to China's advertising market to foreign companies.

Media giants News Corp. and AOL Time Warner have landed broadcast rights in Guangdong province, across the border from Hong Kong, which is a first for foreign companies in China. This is seen as a test-bed, both for the Chinese government and the two companies. If it is successful, it is likely that the Chinese government will open the market more.

TV viewers in Guangdong province are able to view spill-over broadcasts from Hong Kong. As the line between Hong Kong and Guangdong blurs, TV media buyers in Hong Kong are buying TV slots in order to reach Guangdong viewers.

As China's economy has developed, TV viewer tastes have changed as well. In the early 90s, most TV advertising was dominated by commercials for alcohol. In the mid 90s, this changed to VCDs (video compact disks). Now, advertising is dominated by health-related products.

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