Shell Oil Strikes Big Natural Gas Deal

by Paul Denlinger

Posted Aug. 20,2003

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Shell Oil has signed a multi-billion dollar deal to develop the vast Xihu Trough natural gas field in the East China sea off Shanghai.

Under the deal, Shell and Unocal will each take 20 percent in a consortium to exploit five sections of the 22,000 square mile field, which lies 400 kilometers off the coast of Shanghai. The domestic partners, CNOOC, is China's largest offshore oil producer, and Sinopec is China's largest oil refiner. Each will hold 30 percent, which are now valued at US$1 billion each, but will rise to US$10 billion over the length of the project. The field is expected to go on-line in 2005, and will be pumping 2.5 billion cubic meters of gas a year into Shanghai and the surrounding Yangtze River delta.

The importance of the deal was underlined by its setting at the Great Hall of the People in Beijing. The Great Hall of the People is normally used for important government meetings, including party congresses, and is used to receive foreign statesmen when they make official visits to China.

The deal was wrapped after one year of negotiations, which is fast for a project of this scope and magnitude. The deal puts Shell ahead of BP and Exxon, its main competitors in China.

The Chinese government is anxious to develop and diversify to natural gas as an alternative to oil as an energy source, especially around the Shanghai and Yangtze River delta, which are rapidly developing into China's industrial and service center. Natural gas only accounts for 2 percent of China's current power needs, but it is expected to triple to 6 percent by 2010.

Shell's domestic partner, Sinopec, claims that the Chinese government has given initial approval for Shell to open 500 gas stations in Jiangsu province as part of a three year trial. If confirmed, this would be a major coup for Shell, and mark its breakthrough into the retail sector. Under World Trade Organization (WTO) guidelines, China is required to allow foreign competition in the retail market within three years of joining. China joined the WTO in 2002.

Recently, China has had double-digit growth in automobile sales, which has fueled demand for oil.

Significantly, the Vanguard Group and Warren Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway have taken investment positions in China's petroleum industry.

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