World Bank Report Focuses on East Asia Integration

by Paul Denlinger

Posted June 12, 2003

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The World Bank released a regional report covering East Asia on June 6 in Singapore. According to the report, East Asia faces three major challenges: maintaining income growth and poverty reduction in a global economy, pursuing recovery from the 1997 financial crisis and adapting to China's emergence as a major world and regional trading power.

The report, called East Asia Integrates, says that the solution is to promote trade and investment liberalization in the region. It argues that US$300 billion could be saved through improved trade policies. Intra-asian trade has already improved, and the Southeast Asian economies have been able to maintain core sectors, even though many businesses have relocated their factories from Southeast Asia to China. China's joining WTO in November 2001 has had a positive influence, including the elimination of dual pricing, phasing out of restrictions on trading, more uniform administrative arrangements and judicial review.

According to the World Bank, every 1 percent productivity gain in the services sector from expanded competition and foreign entry implies welfare gains of US$10 billion and a GDP increase of 2.2 percent. The report says that the gain for the East Asian economies by the opening of the China market subjectto international rules of conduct, will more than outweigh the initial loss of industry to China. China's imports are expected to grow from 3 percent of global GDP in 2000, to more than 6 percent in 2005. Main East Asian exports which will benefit are rubber, sugar, urea and rice.

Because China is becoming a more important of manufacturing networks, it will also export many partially completed products to East Asia for completion in East Asian factories.

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