China Telecom Prepares to Go Global

by Paul Denlinger

Posted Sept. 27, 2003

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Facing increased competition in the China home market from China Unicom and China Netcom, and falling average revenue per user (ARPU) in the China domestic market, China Telecom is quietly planning to enter other emerging markets as a major player.

The first major market China Telecom is making a move into is Indonesia. China Telecom is currently in talks to buy a 60 percent stake in Excelcomindo, Indonesia's third largest mobile phone operator. It is believed that China Telecom is in talks to buy the stake from the Rajawali Group, which has ties to Bambang Trihamojo Suharto, a son of the former ruler of Indonesia. Suharto was forced to step down following the Asian currency crisis.

Privately-owned Excelcomindo currently has 2.5 million subscribers and 15 percent of the Indonesian mobile market, putting it behind Telkom and Indosat. In May 2002, the company agreed to a restructuring of its US$379 million in debts, and is searching for capital to strengthen its network.

Like other major state-owned enterprises in China, China Telecom is leveraging its cash reserves and experience in a major global market to expand into other emerging markets. China was relatively sheltered from the Asian financial crisis, but Indonesia was badly hit, and lately has also been affected by Islamist terrorist bombings, especially the Bali bombing of October 2002, which killed more than 200 persons, mostly Australian tourists.

On China Telecom's website, the company has stated that 2003 is the "year of large-scale development of the China Telecom international network". China Telecom is currently believed to be in talks with a European consortium of telecommunications operators, including BT Group and Deutsche Telekom, to purchase international cable capacity along the Atlantic coast in a deal valued at US$1 billion.

There is now a vast surplus of excess cable capacity left over from excess buildout in 2000 and 2001. It is believed that China Telecom will be able to acquire the capacity at prices between one-fifth and one-third the original construction cost.

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